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This policy brief examines the political feasibility of transforming Europe’s welfare states to meet the dual challenges of ecological breakdown and rising social risks. Learning lessons from the current state of play, it provides ideas and elements to drive political action that effectively moves eco-social transitions from the margins to the mainstream of European policymaking.

About

While less transformative eco-social policies, such as those included in the current European just transition framework, have gained traction in recent years, they remain limited in scope, reactive in nature, and rooted in a growth-oriented paradigm. The policy brief argues that more transformative eco-social policies are needed to address both the causes and consequences of the ecological crisis and outlines first steps of a political strategy to deliver this.

Drawing on the ‘three Is’ framework – interests, ideas, and institutions – this publication identifies barriers to transformative change and outlines strategies to overcome them. Key elements of these strategies include strengthening socio-ecological coalitions and constituencies; promoting rights-based ideas; and creating inclusive, multilevel and silo-breaking institutions.

Ultimately, the brief calls for a bold rethinking of European social policy to ensure that ecological action reinforces, rather than undermines, democratic legitimacy and social justice.

Authors

• Matteo Mandelli, is a postdoctoral research fellow at the Centre for European Studies and Comparative Politics, Sciences Po Paris. He currently collaborates with the Green European Foundation (GEF) and is a board member of the Sustainable Welfare and Eco-social Policy Network. He holds a PhD in political studies from the University of Milan.

Published by the Green European Foundation with the financial support of the European Parliament to the Green European Foundation. The European Parliament is not responsible for the content of this publication. The views expressed in this publication are solely those of the authors and contributors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the European Parliament. 

The EU’s next long-term budget is a defining test of its strategic direction. Is the EU willing to make the choices required to secure its relevance and legitimacy? This policy brief makes the case for a bold new European Multiannual Financial Framework (MFF) that reflects the scale of today’s intertwined climate, social, and geopolitical challenges.

About

This brief argues that without significantly increased and better-targeted public investment, the EU risks deepening divides, falling behind in global competitiveness, and losing public trust. The upcoming budget negotiations offer a rare opportunity to align Europe’s resources with its priorities: a green and inclusive economy and democratic resilience. The brief lays out key principles and choices needed to deliver a budget fit for Europe’s future. With political momentum shifting and economic realities evolving, the moment to act is now.

A transformative EU budget must substantially increase in size, commensurate with the Union’s strategic goals. This will require expanding financing tools, through a combination of higher Member State contributions, new own resources (NORs) and joint borrowing. It must also grow in purpose, through ensuring the green and digital transitions – and their social dimensions – are central and protected as key elements of Europe’s economic roadmap. But a more capable EU budget must also be governed with clarity, discipline, and democratic legitimacy. To ensure effectiveness and accountability, the following principles should be applied:

• Policy mainstreaming and earmarking;
• Emphasising social justice;
• Avoiding zero-sum trade-offs;
• Strengthening conditionalities.

Europe has the facts and data, the institutions, and the public support to lead through transformation. But it lacks a budget that matches its ambition. A forward-looking, adequately resourced, and strategically governed EU financial framework is essential; not only to navigate today’s crises but to shape a stable, green, and inclusive future.

This GEF Policy Brief was written with expert contributions from the independent climate think tank E3G.

Authors

• Alba Berhami Sintomer is a Policy Advisor and a research lead at the climate change think tank E3G,
• Sandra Tzvetkova is a Senior Policy Advisor at the climate change think tank E3G,
• Taube van Melkebeke is GEF’s Head of Policy. For further information, contact her at taube.vanmelkebeke@gef.eu.

Published by the Green European Foundation with the financial support of the European Parliament to the Green European Foundation. The European Parliament is not responsible for the content of this publication. The views expressed in this publication are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the European Parliament or the Green European Foundation.